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In the future, robots will take away all human jobs. Even lawyers and poets can't avoid editors: Technology is a double-edged sword. The development of robotics technology has liberated people from their heavy workload. However, it has also resulted in some People face the risk of unemployment. Hollywood blockbusters are mistaken. In the near future, high-smart robots are not to take our lives, but to seize our work. For centuries, for the flesh and blood of human beings, being eliminated by technology has always been a concern for them - for example, the advent of cars caused the coachman to lose their jobs - and the speed and variety of recent advanced technology also make this The problem becomes urgent. Previously, blue collars doing repetitive tasks faced the risk of unemployment, such as those working in the manufacturing industry. However, in the near future, the rapid development of artificial intelligence technology will enable the machine to do a variety of tasks, including those that we think beyond the capabilities of the machine. The elements of this new world appear in a book titled “The Gods of Mankind: A Brief History of Tomorrow,†by Yuval Noah Harari, an Oxford-educated historian and the Hebrew University of Jerusalem. professor. "I think we should worry and worry now." Harari told the Zambian Post that "only 20 percent of the unemployment rate will lead to political and social unrest." In recent centuries, we He managed to control three great obstacles that hinder the progress of the century: hunger, war, and plague. But in the coming decades, one of the key questions is: When human beings have reached the level of advancement in science fiction, how we humans will make a living. The Oxford University economists Carl Benedikt Frey and Michael Osborne concluded in a 2013 study (using a complicated algorithm, of course) that in the next 20 years, there will be approximately 47% in the United States. The job faces the risk of high unemployment caused by automation. Economists believe that artificial telesales vendors, security and other areas will disappear. Even sports referees may be eliminated. A research report released in 2015 by the McKinsey Global Institute, a business think tank, shows that 95 percent of jobs are safe by 2020. But after 2020, technology will quickly change the status quo, and many employees will become automated. The study found that 45 percent of the work activities can be automated, including 20 percent of the jobs handled by the CEO of the World Compensation Agency, such as analyzing business data. Your company may not be in charge of the machine within a few years, but the transition of the machine in other areas with lower income is coming. One of the most vulnerable jobs is the truck driver. It is estimated that one million American long-distance truck drivers will be replaced by driverless cars that do not need to sleep or eat greasy burgers after parking. Last year, Uber acquired a driverless car startup called Otto. A few months later, its first drone truck completed its first shipment and transported 50,000 cans of beer from Collinsburg to Colaro Springs, a total of 120 miles. The prospects of eight million salespeople and cashiers in the United States are equally bleak. Last year Amazon opened a 1,800-square-foot store in Seattle, without cashiers and queuing. The customer can take the merchandise off the shelf directly and leave the store. Sensors track their purchases and charge customers through Amazon accounts after they leave the store. Have you ever considered being a soldier? Human soldiers may be replaced by inanimate robots and drones. "Human soldiers murder, rape and plunder, and even when they try to express themselves, they often kill civilians by mistake," Harari writes. We can use the "ethical algorithm" program to design robot killers, which will force them to strictly abide by the rules of the battlefield. And if they are captured, there is no need to worry about being taken hostage, tortured or coerced to reveal any secrets of their country. Government officials may also be threatened. A recent report from a right-wing think tank Reform shows that about 90 percent of British civil servants' jobs are useless and they can be replaced by machines. The transition from mankind to robots can save the government $8 billion annually. Even highly paid jobs, such as doctors, have previously been considered irreplaceable, but they are now facing threats. A recent experiment found that a computer algorithm correctly diagnosed 90 percent of lung cancer cases, a performance that is better than 40 percent of human doctors. "This will not happen to all doctors," Harari said. "If you study the cure for cancer, then you are safe. But if you are an ordinary doctor who diagnoses the disease, then artificial intelligence will complete better than most human doctors. The general doctor's job will disappear." The machines that filter millions of legal precedents will one day replace lawyers. And we can imagine that when the machine can scan the brain, it can act as a reliable lie detector, and criminals will easily prove guilty. Therefore not only lawyers but also judges and detectives will be eliminated by the times. Schools and teachers may also be eliminated by the times. Children can receive knowledge through complex artificial intelligence techniques, all of which can be done on smartphones. Thirty children sitting in one room and the days when different teachers are responsible for different subjects will be gone forever. "The company is committed to making an artificial intelligence teacher to adapt to each child's strengths and weaknesses." Harari said, "Most schools will disappear. This will be more similar to medieval apprentices. You will get from a single source." All directions.†Even art, a proprietary product that humans used to detect their souls, is being eaten by machines. David Cope, a professor of music at the University of California at Santa Cruz, created a computer program called Musical Intelligence Experiments and wrote Bach-style tunes. The music is performed on a group of enthusiastic music festival audiences, but when the sources of creation are revealed, some enthusiasm turns into anger and suspicion. Cope later created another program that could create poetry. The algorithm produced a 2011 collection called "The fiery night: 2000 haiku written by humans and machines." (The author didn't say who the book is.) The interruption of the workforce may bring unprecedented human history. The most important challenge and crisis is the establishment of a huge new social class, which Harari calls "the useless class." It will refer to those citizens who "have no economic, political, or even artistic value and have not made any contribution to the prosperity of the society, power, and social honor." During the Industrial Revolution, farmers that were eliminated by the times can easily transition to non-technical factories for work. However, in the future, unemployed taxi drivers are unlikely to suddenly become a skilled software engineer. Solving the problem of how to support millions of unemployed people will be one of the biggest economic challenges in the next century. Bill Gates suggested taxing robot workers just like humans. Tesla founder Elon Musk and others have proposed a universal basic income initiative - to ensure the public's interest by having the government pay a portion of the money for every citizen every year. The thorny issue that the unemployed people will face is a philosophical issue. "The more difficult challenge is how people make sense because there are many people who have found their own meaning in their employment." Musk said at the World Government Summit meeting, "If you are not needed, if there is no Labor needs you, what is the meaning of your existence?†Harari predicts that these “useless†people will be immersed in virtual reality games every day. Harari predicts that the long-term unemployed may also switch to using drugs to pass the time – although people want to know if there are so many potential people who rely on chemicals in the future, will there be fewer harmful drugs that will be developed and legalized? . At the same time, the money that has flowed to workers in the past will increasingly fall into the hands of “a small elite with powerful algorithms.†Harari predicts that unprecedented social inequality will be created. Maybe one day, the algorithm itself will have most of the world's wealth. (A health-related program may be the most valuable.) This is a small leap from today's reality, where many parts of the planet are already owned by non-human entities - namely, countries and businesses. Of course not every worker will be left behind. Some areas are unlikely to be automated. For example, archaeologists will continue to work because the work requires complex pattern recognition, which is challenging for the programs in the machine. And the profits of the industry are so small that no one may invest in automation. Philosophers may also experience a fortune, because the new machine age will have unique problems that require human judgment. "On these philosophical issues, you must have a practical answer," Harari said. No matter what kind of career path people choose, we must be more flexible in the future. In the past, humans spent their youth to learn skills that will be used by us for careers until retirement. This model will soon be changed. With the continuous development of technology, workers will have to reshape themselves many times.
This kind of AI will not kill but it is better than killing
December 04, 2024