MOCVD equipment is the key equipment for producing LED epitaxial wafers. Its global distribution and application field changes reflect the adjustment of market demand, which can help us understand the status quo of the global LED industry and forecast the future.

The number of MOCVD surges

Since 2010, the number of MOCVD purchases in China has grown rapidly. In 2009, the world shipped 228 units, of which China accounted for only 12%, South Korea 42%, Taiwan 35%; in 2010 the global shipments increased to 800, mainland China rose to 32%, South Korea and Taiwan were 33% And 26%, according to Veeco estimates, MOCVD shipments in 2011 will be 850-1100 units, China will occupy 60% of the share, Korea will further decline to 10%, and Taiwan will be 23%. The global 2011-2015 shipments are 4000-7000 units.

LED-backlit TV continues to penetrate
LED manufacturers actively expand their production capacity, mainly due to the development trend of LED large-size backlight applications and lighting applications. At the end of the second quarter of 2010, the amount of MOCVD purchased in South Korea slowed down. In the fourth quarter, nearly 64% of MOCVD was purchased by LED manufacturers in mainland China, while South Korea fell to 5%. This shows that the backlight demand was once stagnant, while the MOCVD that South Korea purchased was basically used to produce the backlight LED. This is a regional phase issue. However, under the influence of factors such as decreasing LEDTV inventory, 2011 Samsung and Lejin increasing the proportion of LED-backlit TV shipments to over 60%, and strengthening LED lighting product lines, Korean LED manufacturers demanded MOCVD machines in the second half of 2011. The amount will gradually warm up. According to data from Veeco, 700 MOCVD backlight LEDs were produced in 2010. The global LED backlight TV penetration rate is generally expected to exceed 50% in 2011, and 80% by 2013, and 100% market penetration in 2015.

LED lighting will be the future market driving force

In 2010, about 70% of the newly installed MOCVD in the world was used for LED backlighting. However, as the total volume continues to increase, the proportion has begun to decline, and lighting applications have been on the rise, and the momentum will accelerate. The backlight is relatively mature, lighting has just started, the key is whether the demand will suddenly enlarge. With the implementation of banned and banned incandescent lamps in various countries, Japan’s earthquakes, people’s awareness of environmental protection and other factors, LED lighting has come early signs. Lighting will be the driving force for the future market. In the next five years, the annual growth rate of LED lighting chips is expected to reach 68%. After commercial and industrial, residential and outdoor will take the leading position. In 2015, the market share may be 40% for residential, 23% for outdoor, 22% for commercial, and 15 for industry. %. In one or two years, LEDs can beat fluorescent lamps in total cost. If China's products are of higher quality and prices have a competitive advantage, there will be growth in exports.

LED output value exceeded 10 billion US dollars in 2011

According to TheInformationNetwork's market observation and analysis based on reducing production costs, the LED market will experience explosive growth. According to forecasts, shipments of high-brightness LEDs will grow to less than 135 billion units in 2010 from less than 100 billion units in 2010. In addition, the backlight LED will increase from 20 billion in 2010 to 30 billion. Therefore, the total LED shipments in 2011 will grow from 120 billion in 2010 to 165 billion, an increase of more than 40%; and by 2013, LED chip shipments will reach twice the 2010 level. On the whole, the GaN LED market will continue its growth in 2010 and maintain the upward pattern. IMSResearch estimates that GaNLED shipments will reach 62 billion units in 2011, and the total output value will jump from 8 billion US dollars in 2010 to 10.8 billion US dollars, breaking the 10 billion mark for the first time.

LED is not falling back to the inflection point

The development trend of MOCVD manufacturers' revenues has certain predictability for the LED industry. MOCVD giants Aixtron and Veeco announced 2011 full-year financial forecasts in early 2011. Aixtron expects 2011 revenue to reach US$11.2 to US$1.26 billion, compared with 2010. Increased by 12 to 15%. Veeco forecasts that the annual revenue for 2011 will exceed US$1 billion, which is better than the performance of 930 million US dollars in 2010. Veeco Global CEO John R. Peeler admits that after a rapid temperature increase in 2010, MOCVD may have an oversupply phenomenon in the short term, but the market will continue to grow after a short pause. Just as the development of semiconductors will also rise and fall, LED development will inevitably have strong growth. And the cycle of decline. The decline in the upswing is a normal phenomenon, but the current turning point has not yet appeared.

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·Basic precautions

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